The Weekly Gold Outfit is the rarest reward in Fortnite Status’s published chest table. Here is the full table, plus a calculator that makes the odds easier to understand.
These are per-chest base odds in a normal match, from the Fortnite Status announcement reviewed November 8, 2026. Announced Treasure Hours can change some rates.
Fortnite Treasure Hunt base chest drop rates
Treasure
Chance per chest
Percentage
Weekly Gold Outfit
1 in 1,562,500
0.000064%
Pirate Shop Access
1 in 137,500
0.000727%
Weekly Vehicle & Decal
1 in 7,813
0.0128%
Weekly Pickaxe or Backbling
1 in 568
0.1761%
Weekly Jam Track
1 in 391
0.2558%
Weekly Loading Screen
1 in 272
0.3676%
Gizmo (any)
1 in 127
0.7874%
THE ODDS, IN PERSPECTIVEInteractive
What are your chances?
See the estimated chance of at least one gold outfit.
Chance of at least one outfit0.064%Across 1,000 chests at the normal rate.
A probability model, not a guarantee. Assumes independent chests and a constant rate. Boost scenarios are historical announcements, not a live event indicator.
What does “1 in 1,562,500” mean?
Each eligible chest has a modeled base probability of 0.000064%. It does not mean one outfit is guaranteed every 1,562,500 chests, and it does not mean that an unsuccessful chest makes the next one luckier.
How the calculator works
For n independent chests and a constant per-chest probability p, the chance of at least one drop is:
1 − (1 − p)n
The model uses p = multiplier ÷ 1,562,500. Its estimate cannot account for undisclosed game rules, a changing event rate, or an individual player’s previous rewards.
Why the boosts are scenarios
Fortnite Status announced 7.5× and 10× outfit boosts for specific Treasure Hours. Choosing one here compares that rate; it does not mean the boost is active now. See the event notes.
The gold outfit and Pirate Shop are different.
The outfit is a cosmetic reward. Pirate Shop Access is a separate reward, with published base odds of 1 in 137,500. One rate should not be used as the other.
